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Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited duration 1 hour 14 minutes Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited	Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited Title: Statistical analysis of epidemic counts data: modeling, detection of outbreaks, and recovery of missing data Speaker: Michael Baron Abstract: Official counts from the seasonal flu, 2009 H1N1… differential equations formal sciences stopping rule threshold bayesian statistics control theory change point analysis scripting languages population size total number weighted moving average infectious diseases mathematical and quantitative methods (economics) mathematical finance expected stopping expected number sequential analysis statistical inference research methods mortality rate actuarial science august 22nd rate swine flu adaptive threshold theory of probability distributions susceptible people false alarm sum statistical charts and diagrams basic reproduction number confirmed cases demography stochastic processes expected time recoveries recovery rate epidemiology binomial distribution medical tests current population size distribution change epidemics computational neuroscience exponentially weighted moving time series technical analysis conjugate prior distributions simple proportion current number neural networks probability point infected person epidemic sequential methods sir model actual data influenza epidemic question probability distributions medical statistics expected increment artificial intelligence expected behavior random walk infection joint distribution cases casualties population theories random component christian terminology infected people pandemics process stopping time moving average positive test caption complete design of experiments information officially confirmed lose people parameter bayesian algorithms sir neural net feedback loop population ecology data day moving average change point alarm covid-19 person stochastic modeling infection rate model officially reported temporal rates flu epidemic From Richard Ressler 26 plays 0

Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited

duration 1 hour 14 minutes

Colloquium_2020-09-22_Michael_Baron_Edited

Title: Statistical analysis of epidemic counts data: modeling, detection of outbreaks, and recovery of missing data Speaker: Michael Baron Abstract: Official counts from the seasonal flu, 2009 H1N1…